It is clear that during many of the past 50 years, risk-free investments such as Treasury bonds offered real after-tax returns that were either negative or in the low single digits for high-bracket investors. (For example, a 5 percent nominal return in a 40 percent tax bracket with 3 percent inflation is a zero percent [...]
In this section, we examine the delinquency and roll rates, and the default and loss severity of subprime loans. The delinquency status of a loan indicates the number of days the borrower is contractually past due (i.e., days past due or dpd). The loan delinquency statistics may be calculated using either the Mortgage Bankers Association [...]
Analyzing CDO performance is challenging because there is no publicly available secondary market data. Furthermore, there are no readily available performance statistics or CDO indexes to gauge total returns. Certain proxies for CDO collateral performance exist, such as leveraged-loan closed funds (as a proxy for CLOs), synthetic residential MBS indexes, and leveraged-loan indexes, but due [...]
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